And here's why:
1. Neither an African-American nor a woman has ever run for president from either major power. It is very likely that many people will not vote for the first one of either group to present themselves. When Mondale picked Frerraro for vice-president it was pretty much a token nomination by the Democrats to have a woman make it at least that far since it was obvious to one and all that Reagan was going to win unless he got hit by a Mack truck and tasted his own blood.
2. There are major swaths of the country where either Obama or Hillary are hated and despised tremendously. The hidden undercurrent of racial discrimination still exists today even thought the overt pronunciations of it are harder to find. No one yells out, "Go home you Jungle Bunnies," anymore (thank goodness) but that doesn't mean that they don't think it. Unfortunately, Obama's skin color alone will lose many votes. We have already seen the subtle darkening of pictures of him in ads from other candidates. As despicable and reprehensible as this may be, it will become even more wide spread and common this fall, guaranteed. There's only one reason to do such a stupid thing, people still vote based on skin color, and by people, I mean LOTS of people.
Hillary doesn't have it any easier, even though she won't win the candidature. The South would threaten secession if she were to win. The deep ingrained hatred towards her can be seen across YouTube and on every station from there. This eight minute vid from YouTube shows a British TV show, Top Gear, crossing the state of Alabama with the mission of painting each other's cars in such a way as to get the others shot at. Hillary is mentioned in all her glory here.
The baggage she carries from her checkered past is known to be too much to even consider her as viable.
3. The Dems were riding high in 2006. The rallying cry was, "The Republicans have screwed us over long enough. It's time for a change. The Dems will now sweep house." Two years later, the house is just as dirty as before, the dislike for the contemptuous Republicans now seems a distant memory, and the only ones who continue chanting the above phrase are diehard Democrats and braindead people. With Pelosi's famous, "impeachment is NOT on the table," statement, the cat was out of the bag. The Dems had no intention to rock the boat. Their role was, and is, one of finger-pointing and head-shaking. Their role in the White House is at least four more years away.
4. The media is, and will continue to be, giving John McCain a free ride. Oh, the Dems will complain, but only to other Dems. Everyone else will just call them a bunch of sore losers. In case no one has caught on yet, McCain now tours and speaks to people with at least two or three "fact checkers" at his side. We have seen the famous Democrat/Independent/neo-Republican, and possible VP candidate, Lieberman on several occasions pull McCain aside to inform him that he just screwed up again. In any other country on the face of this Earth, such an act would spell curtains for the candidate. No populace would dare vote for a candidate who needs a nanny 24/7 to tell him he is wrong on national TV. But in the US, the media has made it a new angle shot, (1) McCain on camera making a "small" mistake, (2) McCain being pulled to one side (off camera) and told of his stupid remark, (3) full shot of McCain once again right afterwards nonchalantly stating that he totally screwed up because he didn't have a clue what he was saying and that he has just been informed that he's braindead (or something similar to that). Occasionally we'll get to see who was by his side, but certainly not during prime time TV.
4. This is perhaps the cruelest and sickest new arsenal in the corporate elitists cache to control elections. Four years ago we had Swift Boat that twisted and spun everything under the Sun to stab Kerry in his purple heart. We had all wondered how a person who went AWOL for a year could possibly trump someone who actually served in Vietnam and won an astounding 3 purple hearts and a bronze star. Impossible you say, well just watch Swift Boat. It's a good thing that Kerry and the Democrats never fought back because the house of cards the Swiftboaters built during those commercials would have fallen like a ton of bricks under ANY type of scrutiny. Once again, Kerry and the Dems doing what's necessary to continue this country's legacy.
Now we have Swift Kids. They are sick. They are obviously being manipulated. They don't even understand what they are saying on screen. And they will most assuredly pull at the heart strings of all those Christian brain deaders out there who are natural saps for kids saying anything at all. The commercial about Obama's use of cocaine is so dispiccable that it was hard just to sit through it once. Unfortunately, what these crass, sick Madison Avenue moguls don't realize is that, by giving small children the right to such a vocabulary on TV, they are by default giving kids around the country to right to say them, to investigate what they mean, and to experiment with their knowledge. Where we parents try very hard to keep such concepts guarded and inside pandora's box, these bastardos are putting in front of the entire nation for all to see. Small children saying, "snow" with pictures of cocaine in the background is any parent's worse nightmare. Now we'll have five and six-year-olds meeting during recess and discussing the latest commercial and who might have some of this "weird snow" so they can experiment. After all, if it was used by a parent running for president, it must be something REALLY important. FU Swiftboaters. That is so sick as to be revolting. I hope you get to see first hand the results of this with your own kids two years from now.
5. And the coup de grace. Vote manipulation. They cut their teeth on the Florida vote in 2000 and damn near screwed up. It's a good thing the Supreme Court was there to save them. But eight years later, it's party time. Electronic machines are out, so a back up system needs to be put in place. Fortunately, the idea that nonElectronic voting booths break down all the time has already made its rounds. Just make sure that the minority precincts have the worst of the worst. Fewer machines and ones that break down more often should solve that part of the equation.
The felony lists are all the rage this time. In 2000 only Florida was able to use them. Now we should be seeing them in every close state across the country. There are probably 100 electoral votes that could be swayed by proper use of these lists in states that have never seen them before. They don't need to work everywhere, just as long as they can sway 20 electoral votes. That would be a 40 vote differential in a two-party race.
The Native Americans still won't be allowed to vote. Sorry guys, but you vote far too liberal for the country at this time. There are a few states that could swing either way where you are. Better safe than sorry. The broken machines will beat its path to broken promises once again.
A novel twist on the nonElectronic machines could be the accidental tampering of other machines. Power outages really haven't been tried that much to date, but it would be a fairly safe and nondetectable way to change those tallies without too much notice. Even a machine that gives you a ticket could eventually "accidentally" change your vote through a power outage. It's some glitch, or power surge, when it came back on.
Expect major problems wherever minorites and Democrat voters cluster. You don't always have to manipulate the vote to win. One of the easiest ways is to have that process become too painful for all but the diehards. Usually, a six to eight hour wait will send 10% or more back home without voting. And in a two-party race, that amounts to a 20% vote swing at least.
6. Finally, the notion of accuracy that election polls before November and exit polls in November give must be smashed. We have seen this in 2000 when Florida suddenly flip-flopped thanks to Fox News. We saw this even more in 2004. And now we have a confusing New Hampshire which demonstrated the same thing. This is on purpose. This is necessary. Polls have always been a way of scientifically judging people's moods on a variety of subjects. They have proven to be almost 100% accurate with only one miss in the past 60 years.
And then there was Florida in 2000. And several more states in 2004 as well as primaries in 2008. The notion of the high accuracy of exit polling has been put into play. Thus, it can slip right by without notice that a state which was going Obama's way by over 5% suddenly came out with McCain on top by 2%, go figure. How funny. But since it's happened so much in the past, who's to know or be concerned??
McCain has this election pretty well sewn up. As long as the polls keep him within 5% of Obama, the rest is already in place. And there are plenty of mechanisms in place already to ensure that McCain will have smooth sailing throughout the fall.
Meet President John McCain, the 44th president of the US.
(Instead of "Hail to the Chief," whenever he enters a press room, they should be playing the theme from Final Jeopardy)