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The United States and Israel expected a rapid internal uprising in Iran to help bring the war to a swift end, but the plan has failed to materialize, The New York Times reported on Sunday, March 23.

According to the report, Israeli and US officials believed that early strikes on Iran’s leadership and infrastructure could trigger mass protests and destabilize the government.

The plan, presented by Israel’s Mossad intelligence agency ahead of the war, envisioned riots and internal unrest that could potentially lead to the collapse of Iran’s leadership.

Over three weeks into the war, no large-scale uprising has emerged, and Iran’s government remains in control, the report said.

US and Israeli intelligence assessments concluded that, while the government has been weakened, it remains intact – with security forces still deterring potential protests.

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After warning of retaliatory attacks on U.S. and Israeli infrastructure, Iran on Saturday night launched missiles at two southern Israeli cities that lie close to the country's main nuclear research center.

The Israeli military said about 180 people had been injured, some severely. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called it "a very difficult evening" for the country, in a post on X.

Also overnight, President Trump gave Iran 48 hours to reopen a crucial waterway, the Strait of Hormuz, saying if Tehran fails to do so, "America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST!" Roughly a fifth of the world's oil transited through the strait last year — and Iran's willingness to attack the transport vessels has virtually halted traffic.

The president has vacillated in recent days between saying the war is "winding down," while also deciding to stage new U.S. ground forces near the region and continuing to strike Iranian targets.

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Israel bombs targets east of Tehran. IRGC officials assassinated by Israel. Netanyahu says Israel will “hold off” on further attacks on Iran’s energy facilities. Kuwait refinery hit for the second time.

Israel bombs Syria. Drone strike on Haifa oil refinery in Israel. IRGC claims it hit F-35 over central Iran. U.S. fast-tracks $16.5B in arms sales to Gulf allies amid Iran strikes.

3,200 vessels stranded west of Strait of Hormuz. Lebanon signals readiness for immediate talks with Israel.

Al-Aqsa mosque closed for Eid. U.S. proposal calls for full Hamas disarmament in Gaza.

Senate panel advances nomination of Sen. Markwayne Mullin to lead DHS. Tulsi Gabbard says American and Israeli war aims in Iran diverge.

Israel bombs targets east of Tehran: The Israeli military said on Friday it has begun striking targets east of Tehran. Late on Thursday, the Israeli military said it had carried out over 130 strikes on targets in western and central Iran over the previous day.

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A building in the southern Israeli city of Dimona collapsed on Saturday after it was struck by falling interception debris from an earlier Iranian ballistic missile attack, Israel's Fire and Rescue Services confirmed, as emergency crews fanned out across at least 12 separate sites in the city to search for casualties.

Twenty people sustained light injuries across Dimona from the impact, according to preliminary reports. Israeli Channel 12 News reported that a cluster munition missile and a separate ballistic missile struck the area, though it remained unclear whether the building collapse resulted from a direct hit or from fragments of intercepted projectiles.

Fire and rescue teams were sweeping the affected zones as reports continued to develop, with the situation described as ongoing.

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Israel's largest refinery, Haifa, has confirmed it was affected by an Iranian missile strike that hit infrastructure "essential to its operations" on March 20, and is in the process of restoring production.

A statement from Bazan Group, which operates the 197,000 barrels/day Haifa refinery, said the facility was damaged by an attack on March 19, which hit its electricity infrastructure and an area near one of its administrative buildings.

Additionally, "essential" equipment located outside the complex and owned by a third-party operator was taken offline, it said, without providing further details on the infrastructure hit.

The external damage was discovered overnight after attacks across northern Israel, the Bazan statement said, adding that returning the equipment to normal operations could take "a few days".

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Switzerland has moved to suspend new approvals for arms exports to the United States amid the ongoing US-Israeli war on Iran, citing its long-standing policy of neutrality and legal restrictions under domestic export controls.

In a statement on Friday, the Swiss government said "exports of war materiel to the US cannot currently be authorised", pointing to Washington’s involvement in an "international armed conflict" in the Middle East.

It added that "the export of war materiel to countries involved in the international armed conflict with Iran cannot be authorised for the duration of the conflict".

The decision formalises a position already in practice. Swiss authorities noted that since the beginning of the war on 28 February, "no new licences have been issued for exports of war materiel to the US".

The measure applies specifically to new orders for arms and ammunition, effectively pausing fresh approvals while the conflict continues.

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